Poll: Quinn expands her lead, and Democrats win across the board
City Council Speaker Christine Quinn increased her lead in the race for the Democratic mayoral nomination, towering over a field that remains largely unknown to voters, according to a new NY1-Marist poll released this evening.
Quinn, the Council speaker who is expected to formally announce her mayoral candidacy next month, is supported by 37 percent of Democratic voters, just shy of the 40 percent needed to avoid a run-off among the top-two vote getters. The fight, for now, is for second place, with former New York City comptroller Bill Thompson and the current public advocate, Bill de Blasio, in a statistical dead heat, at 13 and 12 percent respectively, within the 2.7 percent margin of error.
Thompson slipped two points, and de Blasio gained four points, compared to the last NY1-Marist poll in October, when Manhattan Borough President Scott Stringer and publisher Tom Allon were still in the race. (Stringer opted to run for comptroller; Allon switched parties to run as a Republican.)
Support for city comptroller John Liu was unchanged from the October poll, at 9 percent.
On the Republican side, former M.T.A. chairman Joe Lhota leads with 20 percent, well ahead of his nearest rival, Doe Fund founder George McDonald, at 8 percent. Billionaire businessman John Catsimatidis, who recently began robocalling local Republicans, sits at 5 percent.
Allon has support from 4 percent of Republicans, up from the two percent he had among Democrats in October. Rev. A.R. Bernard, who is exploring a run, has 2 percent, and former Bronx Borough President Adolfo Carrion Jr. has 3 percent of the Republican vote.
But a majority of Republican voters, 53 percent, say they are still undecided.
In head-to-head match-ups, Lhota loses to every Democratic candidate, including Liu and Sal Albanese, a former city councilman.
In a three-way race among the candidates currently leading the primaries, with Carrion included as the candidate of the Independence Party, Quinn takes 59 percent of the vote, Lhota gets 17 and Carrion receives just 8 percent.
The result is similar among Latino voters: Quinn gets 58 percent, Lhota gets 18 and Carrion gets 9 percent.