Cuomo predicts a dip in his approval rating over gun-control legislation

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Governor Andrew Cuomo said he expects public polling numbers coming out tomorrow to show some of his approval figures dipping, particularly among rural voters upstate, following the passage of his gun control legislation.

"I expected it [when] we went through it with marriage equality," Cuomo said during a radio interview on Talk1300. "We know what the polls say on this because we've done it."

When the radio host, New York Post state editor Fred Dicker, said public polling showed the governor's approval rating jumping after the gay marriage vote passed in 2011, Cuomo said that in "my polls" the initial response was an overall drop in support, before it rose.

Cuomo's campaign paid $16,000 for polling in the middle of March, well after he announced plans to pass a gay marriage bill. The campaign paid an additional $12,430 for polling at the end of May. By that point, Cuomo's role in passing the bill was garnering widespread attention.

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In August of 2011, after the bill was passed, Cuomo's campaign paid $18,910 for polling. The campaign paid for additional polling in November ($18,300) and December ($8,200).

The governor, as he has in the past, described the debate over gun control as a "70-30" issue, with many more people in favor of it than against it. But the opposition, he said, was very vocal.

But Cuomo said he expected the noise about the gun control debate to fade, as it did with same-sex marriage, another hotly contested issue.

In another interview this morning, with Susan Arbetter on Albany-based WCNY, Cuomo said, "God gives us political capital to spend."

Not that he expects to spend it all right now.

Eighteen months after hundreds of protesters filled the halls of the Capitol, screaming for days on end, the issue of gay marriage has receded from the public discourse, said Cuomo. "Society evolved and we led the way. Guns is like that to me."

Not for everyone though. That issue returned when the four Republican state senators who supported the bill sought re-election. One, Jim Alesi of Rochester, opted not to run, hamstrung by that vote and other local issues. (He briefly brought a lawsuit against a couple on whose property he broke his leg while trespassing.)

Two other of those senators were defeated: Roy McDonald of the Capital Region and Stephen Saland of Poughheekspie.

A fourth, freshman Mark Grisanti of Buffalo, survived his re-election, though it was a harder race than most incumbent legislators usually face.