How will Hurricane Sandy affect the New York vote?

how-will-hurricane-sandy-affect-new-york-vote
Bloomberg in Manhattan Beach. (Spencer T. Tucker via flickr)
Tweet Share on Facebook Share on Tumblr Print

Today, somehow, New Yorkers will vote.

An executive order from Gov. Andrew Cuomo means New Yorkers displaced by Hurricane Sandy can now cast a ballot anywhere in the state. But, between the effects of the storm and the lack of suspense over the result of the presidential (and Senate, for that matter) voting in New York, it's not clear that this year's turnout will be comparable to the vote in 2008.

That could have an impact on Democratic candidates in the state's half-dozen close House races, which is where New York really stands to have impact on the national election, and it could also affect the party's chances of re-taking the State Senate. (The governor's executive order doesn't allow for voting in local races outside one's own district.)

A decline in turnout in storm-ravaged blue states like New York and New Jersey would also reduce Obama's popular-vote total (compounding this effect), even if it doesn't hurt him in the electoral college. 

MORE ON CAPITAL

ADVERTISEMENT

Quote

"Who will have a harder time sleeping tonight @BarackObama or @fivethirtyeight ?"—Risa Heller

Recommended

A tabloid editorial page is furious at Bloomberg's response to the hurricane. [New York Post]

"Sandy has done what Occupy Wall Street tried and failed to do," said an investment banker, Euan Reille. "It's made me think about the people who don't have what I have." [Mike Vilensky]

Unlike New York, New Jersey will allow people to vote by fax and email. [David Halbfinger, Thomas Kaplan and Wendy Ruderman]

A former Giuliani aide will lead a new PAC to help convince Assembly Democrats to oust Assembly Speaker Sheldon Silver. [Carl Campanile]

Polls

Sunday was President Obama's best day in the Washington Post-ABC tracking poll, giving him a three-point lead, 50-47, but it's still a "margin of error" election. [Washington Post]

Obama and Mitt Romney are tied, 47-47, in Politico's final tracking poll of battleground states. [Politico]

From Capital

"Trick Question: How much would Obama have to win by to get the G.O.P. to work with him?" [Blake Zeff]

After unloading some outer-borough, suburban and rural rage at the utility companies, Cuomo announced one-day changes to the state's voting rules, to help hurricane victims. [Reid Pillifant]

Bloomberg tried assuring hurricane victims "we are not going to walk away from you." [Dana Rubinstein]

A mini Obama-Romney race on Long Island. [Matt Taylor]

Eric Ulrich supporters cried foul over a new polling location. [Azi Paybarah]

Events

9 a.m. Mayor Michael Bloomberg votes, at 45 East 81st Street, in Manhattan. 9 a.m. City Comptroller John Liu greets voters with Andrew Gounardes, at 414 80th Street, in Bay Ridge, Brooklyn.

10 a.m. Liu visits hurricane victims, at Mount Carmel Baptist Church, at 348 Beach 71st Street, in Queens.

11 a.m. City Councilman Eric Ulrich votes, at P.S. 63, at 9015 Sutter Ave., in Queens.

12:30 p.m. Bloomberg has a Q&A after giving an update about the hurricane recovery, in the Blue Room of City Hall.

6 p.m. Liu gives the keynote speech at IOUE Local 30's Election Day meeting, at 115-06 Myrtle Ave., in Queens.

7:30 p.m. Liu does an interview about Queens politics on QPTV, at 4161 Kissena Blvd., Flushing, Queens.

2012

At his final rally as a candidate, Obama teared up in Des Moines, talking about when it all began. [Helene Cooper]

Mitt Romney got emotional too, at a final rally in New Hampshire, after Kid Rock played "Born Free" while standing atop a piano. [Philip Rucker and Felicia Sonmez]

They gave dueling interviews on "Monday Night Football" last night, with Obama taking credit for the BCS changes and Romney claiming credit for the Patriots' Super Bowl wins and the Red Sox championships. [Zeke Miller]

Ohio is expecting 200,000 provisional ballots and has "labyrinthine" rules for a recount, meaning the outcome could take weeks to decide. [John Broder]

The LGBT-related races to watch. [Chris Geidner]

Obama will play his traditional game of pick-up basketball today. [SFGate]

Election Day: New York

A list of candidates appearing on the ballot throughout New York City. [Board of Elections]

A list of polling locations. [Christopher Robbins]

Some hurricane victims just aren't going to vote. [Jill Colvin and Mathew Katz]

New Jersey voters will have to mail in a ballot, even if they vote by email or fax. [Steve Friess]

The hurricane "all but ended campaigns" on Staten Island. [Andrew Grossman and Danny Gold]

"Tuesday Is Election Night, Be Careful What You Tweet" [Arik Hesseldahl]

A Princeton professor agues that politicians can lie a lot easier these days in part because media organizations stop playing referee. [Kevin Kruse]

2013 / City Hall

Bloomberg's initial response to the storm shows after all this time, and despite some notable accomplishments, he's still not great at politics. [Joe Nocera]

City officials dealing with a housing crisis should take lessons from the MTA. [Nicole Gelinas]

Bloomberg's appointment of a director of emergency housing is a tacit acknowledgement that the residents in some of the hardest-hit areas feel neglected by relief efforts. [Daily News]

Some students were very cold in schools yesterday. [Georgett Roberts, Jennifer Bain and Beth DeFalco]

Albany

Cuomo said as of yet, it's unclear exactly how many people need housing assistance after the storm. [James Barron, Eric Liption and Ray Rivera]

The governor raged at the utility companies' response to the storm. [AP]

"Hurricane Sandy could decide fate of New York State Senate." [Glenn Blain]

A national liberal website complains that "[i]t’s hard to fathom, but the main obstacle to the Democrats gaining control of the [State] Senate may be the Governor himself." [Don Hazen]

In SD-17, no matter who gets the most votes, the Republican caucus wins. [Erik Kriss]

And more on that canceled junket in Puerto Rico for New York lawmakers. [Erik Kriss and David Seifman]

Front Pages