8:18 am Oct. 9, 2012
It's just one poll, of course, but even as an outlier it's not an encouraging sign for Democrats, who were fully prepared for President Obama to finish off Romney last week, only to see polls tighten everywhere in the wake of the president's subpar debate performance.
A Politico poll released yesterday showed flagging enthusiasm among Democrats, and Gallup's latest tracking poll, which averaged responses for the three days following the debate, had Romney pulling even among registered voters, up from a five-point deficit prior to the debate.
Nate Silver isn't ready to sound the alarm just yet, saying the fundamentals of the race still show a tight election.
But even a moderate bounce from Romney's debate performance could have a substantial effect all the way down the ballot.
In one of the most closely watched Senate campaigns, Republican incumbent Scott Brown has opened up a slight lead over his Democratic challenger, Elizabeth Warren, according to a new poll.
The three-point lead is statistically insignificant, but the seven-point swing in Brown's favor over the last 10 days is not.