The Ray Kelly Bubble is dismissible; Ray Kelly isn’t

Briefing: Ray Kelly. (Azi Paybarah via flickr)
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There are certainly reasons to be skeptical about the Republican-driven Ray Kelly for Mayor boomlet, and the Observer's David Freedlander lists five of them. What it boils down to is that making the transition from appointed office to elected office is tricky, unforgiving and requires money. Also, Kelly, who is now 70, just might not feel like it.

But that doesn't mean he's ignorable. 

Kelly for Mayor, actually, feels a little like Bloomberg for President: A narrative no one believes is real is being peddled for cynical reasons, and the supposed candidate is providing no reason to think otherwise.

But in both cases the would-be draftee actually has the wherewithal to run, if not actually to win; Bloomberg was plausible because of his money, and Kelly is plausible because of his enduring popularity and establishment support.

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And in Kelly's case, it's not as if he hasn't laid the groundwork.

He has engaged (quite effectively, if selectively) in public policy disputes, most recently, when he challenged City Council members to offer an alternative to his method of reducing gun violence.

He's an experienced retail politician, and has kept up a busy schedule of meetings with residents and civic groups around the city from the beginning of Bloomberg's tenure, when the spotlight has been on him and when it hasn't. 

Fund-raising would certainly be a challenge for him in a 2013 context, if only because he'd be starting so late. But it appears he's already got a lot of rich friends who could help.

The NYPD's controversies would certainly be part of the conversation about Candidate Kelly, but so would his strong crime-fighting record over the course of two different mayoral administrations. 

The idea put forth by former New York G.O.P. chairman Bill Powers, that Kelly might be motivated to jump into the mayor's race as a reaction to series of media attacks on his record orchestrated by Christine Quinn, is precisely as credible as it sounds. Which is to say that it's fantastical.

At the same time, predicting that Kelly won't run is a lot different than saying he can't.

Some Links:

2016

Bill Clinton praised Andrew Cuomo's budget "in a written statement provided by the Cuomo press shop." [Tom Precious]

2013

Bill de Blasio's report claims new water meters may have overcharged homeowners by tens of thousands of dollars. [Josh Margolin]

The meters were installed by the city's department of Environmental Protection and "some of the spikes were as high as $50,000." [NY1]

NY-13

Espaillat attended a luncheon in the Bronx, where the former president of the Dominican Republic said Obama was born in Africa. The former president apologized for the remark, but Espaillat hasn't said anything about it. [Bob Kappstatter]

NY-27

Conservatives go with former county executive Chris Collins over military veteran David Bellavia, in part because Bellavia campaigned against the Conservative-backed G.O.P. candidate last year. [Nick Reisman]

Super Jewish District

Democrat Simcha Felder would likely vote for Republican Dean Skelos to lead the State Senate, if there's a tie. [Chris Bragg]

Flashback: In a prior State Senate race, Felder described himself as a "Malcolm Smith Democrat". [Liz Benjamin]

City Hall

"We need to find a NYC Mayor who 'gets it' about how tech can make NY as part of the 21st global economy." [@Rasiej]

Bloomberg announced new rules for crane operators. [nyc.gov]

The new rules are in response to a crane collapse. [David Freedlander]

Bloomberg is harassing smokers, a writer agues. [Kim Velsey]

Carl Kruger

The former Democratic state senator who was sentenced to 11 years in prison for corruption was "a much needed thorn in the side of bureaucracy," and we "need more thorns like him," said district leader Frank Seddio. [Laura Nahmias]