1:21 pm Mar. 13, 2012
More numbers from today's Quinnpiac poll: Support for Christine from among a hypothetical field of seven candidates was 25 percent, 10 percent more than the next candidate.
Yes, the poll is incredibly early and the "field" isn't necessarily the one we'll end up with. The second-place finisher, for example, was Marty Markowitz, who has said he won't run. Also: when Quinnipiac conducted this exercise in the past, Quinn finished second, to ... Ray Kelly, who was not among the hypothetical candidates this time. Also, John Liu is still listed as a choice. Maybe Liu and Markowitz will all make the race, despite the fact that one of them isn't interested and one of them has a campaign that is under federal investigation. Probably not, though.
So really this is a measure of Quinn's name-recognition more than anything else, and not a particularly surprising one at that. And to a certain extent it's testiment to her ability to avoid any damage from her difficult balancing act between the Bloomberg administration and liberal interest groups (like her overwhelmingly Democratic members).
The non-Quinn field registered in the poll, by percentage, as follow:
Bill Thompson 13
Bill de Blasio 9
Scott Stringer 7
John Liu 7
Tom Allon 2
UPDATE: I asked Quinnipiac University Polling Institute director Mickey Carroll why they keep including Markowitz, who has said he won't run for mayor, but removed Ray Kelly.
"Markowitz for some goddamn reason keeps getting high marks," Carroll told me.
He also said Markowitz is in a category of "real politicians" who could theoretically still run.
With Kelly, Carroll said, "We realized he's not running, it screws it up."