The reason David Weprin is winning/losing in NY-9 is that he is/isn’t an Obama guy

Michael Bloomberg, Chuck Schumer, Randi Weingarten and Hillary Clinton. (Kirsten Artz via Flickr)
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Voting in the special election for Anthony Weiner's seat isn't happening until tomorrow, but the obits for the Weprin candidacy are already being written, in pieces, today. If David Weprin loses to Bob Turner, there will be no shortage of theories about why it happened. (The race is a referendum on Obama and national issues but isn't a national bellwether; Weprin is running a bad campaign but the kind of campaign Weprin's running is irrelevant because the race is so much bigger than him; Israel is a decisive issue and it isn't.)

Liz Benjamin catches an interesting development that is cutting against the prevailing narrative: national Democrats actively trying their candidate to their party's president, whose approval rating is at all-time low. Benjamin notes it may be worth the risk since Obama is still popular enough with the party faithful whose ranks make up a majority of voters in the NY-9 district.

Also: a judge's ruling today in the trial of Bloomberg's former political operative may open the door to an airing of details about how and why the mayor's campaign team decided to dole out money the way it did.

NY-9

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A rabbí robocalls against Weprin because he voted for "same-gender marriage" and "abandoned Jewish teaching." [VIN]

As J-Street supporters have complained, the NY-9 race shows "the limited range of acceptable political discourse on Israel in American politics." [Rebecca Vilkomerson]

"[N]ational Democrats have decided linking Weprin to Obama while trying to motivate the true blue base in NY-9 is worth any negative falout…" [Liz Benjamin]

"Weprin's bigger problem is that the election may hinge on the district's 20% or so independent voters." [Allysia Finley]

House Majority Leader Cantor pins NY-9 on Obama's unpopularity. [Lisa Mascaro]

A loss may send Representative Crowley a lesson about picking an overly accommodating candidate. [Greg David]

It's not surprising that the White House should downplay the notion that NY-9 is a referendum on the White House. [Celeste Katz]

A writer blames the Democrats' possible loss on Anthony Weiner. [Matt Cantor]

Haggerty Trial

A judge rules that the defense team for the Republican operative accused of stealing $1 million from the mayor's campaign will have wide latitude to ask questions about the mayor's spending habits. [Laura Italiano]

Judge Ronald Zweibel said he'll "decide relevance [of the testimony] during the trial." [Melissa Grace]

Other

Cuomo's conference call about the recent terrorist threat. [State of Politics]

 

There's lots of anticipation for a bike-share announcement from City Hall. [Andrea Bernstein]

Columbia University students may have a chance to dine with Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. [Leah Greenbaum]

The location of the Ahmadinejad dinner is not yet known. [New York Post]